Too early to bet against AI trade, State Street suggests
Context:
State Street maintains a positive outlook on the artificial intelligence sector despite a challenging week for tech stocks, citing ongoing investor interest in AI growth. Chief Business Officer Anna Paglia emphasized that the anticipated shift from growth to value investing has not yet materialized, indicating that momentum in AI remains strong. However, she predicts a potential cooling of this enthusiasm early next year, as investment strategies may evolve towards diversification. The SPDR NYSE Technology ETF, a key fund managed by State Street, has seen substantial gains this year but faced a recent decline, particularly influenced by disappointing earnings from notable holdings like Palantir Technologies. Meanwhile, a shift towards healthcare stocks is emerging as investors seek safer options amid tech volatility, with the Health Care Select Sector SPDR Fund showing signs of recovery.
Dive Deeper:
The SPDR NYSE Technology ETF has risen by 38% year-to-date but experienced a decline of over 4% in the past week, prompting profit-taking in AI-related stocks.
Palantir Technologies, a significant holding within the SPDR NYSE Technology ETF, saw its stock drop more than 11% following its earnings report earlier in the week.
Despite recent volatility, Anna Paglia remains optimistic about the tech sector, suggesting that a market signal indicating a slowdown is necessary for a rebalancing towards value stocks.
Todd Rosenbluth from State Street noted a growing interest in healthcare stocks, which have historically been seen as defensive, indicating a potential shift in investor sentiment.
The Health Care Select Sector SPDR Fund has increased by 5% since October 1 and was recognized as the second-best performing group in the S&P 500 over the past week.
Paglia's 25 years in the ETF industry lend credibility to her perspective on the ongoing strength of AI momentum and potential market transitions.