A Warmer-Than-Average November Could Be in Store for Millions
The Weather Company has revealed its November outlook, offering a sneak peek into what you can expect beginning next week. What parts of the country will see an early start to winter, and where will fall hang on for a bit longer? Read on for all of the details of the long-range forecast.
Where Winter Will Be Slow to Arrive
El Niño is in firm control of the weather heading into November. The intensification of this climate phase is impacting which parts of the U.S. will see an early start to the winter season. For the most part, fall will keep its hold on the nation. The exception to this will be across California, Oregon, Nevada, Arizona, and Utah. These parts of the western U.S. are expected to see temperatures hover slightly below the norm for November.
The greatest departure from normal temperatures will be in the northern tier of the country. Temperatures will land well above normal for parts of the Upper Midwest and the Great Lakes, including parts of the Dakotas and nearly all of Minnesota and Wisconsin. Keep in mind that this is also traditionally one of the chilliest spots in the country, meaning that any unseasonable warmth may feel in line with normal November temperatures elsewhere.
Temperatures are also forecast to bounce around above the norm down into the Mississippi and Ohio River valleys. The warmth will stretch as far as the interior Northeast.
The mercury is forecast to hit just slightly above normal readings for the eastern Rockies and down into the Four Corners region. This will also be the case for most of the southern Plains, the Southeast, and the major urban areas that dot the Interstate 95 corridor.
Average temperatures are on tap for New England, Florida, portions of the Gulf Coast, most of the central Rockies, the interior West, and the Pacific Northwest.
Where to Expect the Most Precipitation
Most of the Lower 48 is forecast to see average precipitation amounts in November. The only regions that are expected to see moisture levels fall below what is normally recorded this month are in the Pacific Northwest. This is notable, as November is generally when the moisture machine ramps up in this corner of the country.
The wettest areas, when compared to average moisture readings, will be across the Gulf Coast of Texas to the east and north through the coastline of Maryland. This means that it will likely be a soggy month for much of Florida, the Carolinas, and Virginia.
Precipitation levels are forecast to land just above what is typically notched in November for a swath of land stretching from southern and central California to the east through New Mexico, Arizona, and Texas. This narrow zone of slightly above-average precipitation will extend all the way to the northeast into southern New Hampshire.
This is when the emergence of a record El Niño is most likely to be felt. Heading into December, you can expect a generally drier and warmer pattern for the northern third of the U.S., and wetter conditions for the southern flank of the country.
It bears repeating that these long-range forecasts only provide information about general patterns. Just because your area is forecast to see warmer-than-usual temperatures for the month, it does not mean that there will not be some brief cold spells mixed into the weather. This is why it is important to stay on top of your local forecast, especially if you have outdoor plans or travel needs.
Weather changes fast, so help your community stay prepared. Share this story with friends, family, or your group chat, and keep your forecast in the now with Weather Forecast Now.