After 162 Games, The MLB Let The Map Do The Seeding

Hunter Tierney
By Hunter Tierney
September 29, 2026
After 162 Games, The MLB Let The Map Do The Seeding

Major League Baseball just spent six months and nearly 2,430 games figuring out which teams were actually good.

Then they built the American League playoff bracket using a map.

The Yankees won 93 games and finished with the AL’s best run differential. Their reward? A best-of-three series against an 87-win Boston team, followed — if they even survive — by a Division Series against the 98-win Rays.

Cleveland won 85 games. Their reward is five days off and home-field advantage against either the 84-win White Sox or the 81-win Astros.

Houston didn’t even finish with a winning record. They still get to host Chicago for an entire Wild Card Series simply because of that division.

That’s not one strange matchup in an otherwise sensible bracket. The entire AL side is upside down.

The three best records — Tampa Bay, New York and Boston. — are all packed together. Only one can end up making it to the AL Championship Series. On the other side, one of Cleveland, Chicago. or Houston is guaranteed to get there.

One side has three teams that combined for 278 wins. The other has three that combined for 250.

And this isn’t some accident. It’s exactly what the current playoff format is built to do. It doesn’t just reward teams for making October or give division winners a small advantage.

The final bracket doesn’t really seed the American League’s six best teams. And that's a shame.

The AL Bracket Is Almost Completely Backward

If the American League playoff teams were seeded by record, the order would be pretty straightforward:

Tampa Bay won 98 games. The Yankees won 93. Boston won 87. Cleveland won 85. The White Sox won 84. Houston won 81.

But that’s not how MLB seeded them. Cleveland got the No. 2 seed, Houston was No. 3, New York No. 4, Boston No. 5 and Chicago No. 6.

So right away, you’ve got five different spots where the seeding doesn’t match the standings.

Cleveland finished ahead of a Yankees team that won eight more games and a Boston team that won two more.

The numbers underneath those records make the setup look even stranger. The Yankees finished with a plus-138 run differential, the best in the American League. Boston was plus-78. Chicago was plus-56.

Cleveland was plus-11.

Houston was minus-32.

The Astros gave up 32 more runs than they scored over six months and still got the No. 3 seed. The Yankees outscored their opponents by 138 runs and ended up No. 4.

In the National League, the format looks a lot less noticeable because the geography happens to line up with the standings. Milwaukee won 103 games, the Dodgers 100, Atlanta 94, San Diego 91, the Cubs 89, and Philadelphia 88. That’s also the exact order in which they were seeded.

No argument. No weirdness. No team getting a huge boost just because they beat the four clubs closest to them.

Winning The Right Division Is Worth Eight Extra Wins

Oct 15, 2024; Bronx, New York, USA; New York Yankees third base Jazz Chisholm Jr. (13) watches a replay on the scoreboard with Cleveland Guardians second base Andrés Giménez (0) and shortstop Brayan Rocchio (4) during the sixth inning in game two of the ALCS for the 2024 MLB Playoffs at Yankee Stadium.
Credit: Brad Penner-Imagn Images

Cleveland doesn’t have to apologize for any of this.

The Guardians were 61–66 on Aug. 19, then went 24–11 to steal the Central from Chicago. They finished 8–2 over their last 10 games and clinched their third straight division title. That was an excellent finish by a team that knew exactly what was there for the taking.

That’s the point: Cleveland didn’t make the rules. They just played them perfectly.

The problem is how much those rules put on the table.

Winning the Central didn’t just move the Guardians one spot ahead of Chicago. It let them skip a best-of-three elimination series altogether. They can rest their bullpen and watch Houston and Chicago burn through pitchers just trying to stay alive.

Cleveland will then host Games 1, 2 and, if necessary, 5 of the ALDS. Their path to the ALCS runs through an 81-win team or an 84-win team.

New York’s path starts with Boston, a division rival that won 87 games and finished with the AL’s third-best record. Whoever survives gets one day off before starting a best-of-five series against Tampa Bay, the AL's only 98-win team.

There’s no reseeding after the Wild Card Series. The bracket's locked. The Yankees can’t draw Cleveland, even though New York finished eight games ahead of them. Tampa Bay can’t draw Houston, even though the Rays won 17 more games.

MLB’s own explanation of the format says the fixed bracket ensures the No. 1 seed won’t face another division champion in the ALDS.

That sounds reasonable until a division champion goes 81–81.

Now the rule created to protect Tampa Bay from another division winner is forcing the Rays to face two best better teams instead. Cleveland gets the Astros-White Sox winner. The No. 1 seed gets the tougher draw because MLB cares more about Houston winning their division than Houston’s record.

Houston Gets To Host A Better Team For Going .500

Houston became the first team in a full-length season to make it to the postseason without a winning record. The Astros needed a 9–0 win on the final day just to get to 81–81 and hold off an 80–82 Rangers team.

Before this season, the weakest full-season division champion was the 82–80 Padres in 2005. Baseball had seen losing teams sneak into temporary expanded formats — the 29–31 Astros and Brewers in 2020 — and the 50–53 Royals qualified through the bizarre split-season setup in 1981. But nobody had done this over a normal 162-game schedule.

Houston didn’t just qualify. They also earned the right to host every game of a three-game series against a White Sox team that won more games and outscored their opponents by 88 runs.

Astros manager Joe Espada didn’t pretend the location was meaningless:

“We’re going to be in front of our home crowd, and that matters more.”

He’s right. It matters enough that the MLB gives one team all three games instead of building in a travel day for such a short series. Chicago’s first playoff appearance since 2021 will happen entirely on the road because they lost their division by one game.

There’s some baseball context working in the Astros’ favor. They went 5–2 against the White Sox this season, including 3–1 at Daikin Park. Yordan Alvarez may win the AL MVP award, Josh Hader had a 1.01 ERA, and Houston's got a lot more postseason experience than Chicago.

The Astros could absolutely win this series. They could even make a deep run. An 84-win Arizona team mad eit all the way to the World Series as the No. 6 seed in 2023, and an 87-win Philadelphia team did the same in 2022. October has never promised to identify the best regular-season team.

But that’s different from deciding which team should get the better opportunity before the playoffs even start.

MLB Already Made The Schedule Less Geographic

Cleveland Guardians first base coach Sandy Alomar Jr. (15) chats with Jose Ramirez as the sun sets during a game against the Seattle Mariners on June 18, 2024, in Cleveland, Ohio.
Credit: Jeff Lange / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

Division-based seeding made more sense when the schedule was mostly divisional.

Before 2023, every club played each division rival 19 times, adding up to 76 games. Teams in different divisions could end up with noticeably different schedules, so treating each division race like its own competition at least had some logic behind it.

Then MLB introduced the balanced schedule.

Now, teams play each division opponent 13 times, or 52 games total. That’s less than a third of the season. The other 110 games are against teams from outside the division, and every club faces all 29 other teams at least once.

MLB explicitly said the expanded postseason needed a fairer schedule, cutting down on the advantage a team could get from playing in a weak division. Records across the league are more comparable now than they used to be.

But the playoff structure never caught up.

This season’s division records make that hard to ignore. AL East teams combined to go 436–372, a .540 winning percentage. The AL Central went 391–419, or .483. The AL West went 363–447, or .448.

New York and Boston had to spend 52 games beating each other up in the strongest division in the league. Houston played 52 games inside the weakest one and still went just 26–26 against their own division.

The geography at the front of the schedule has faded. The geography at the end still controls everything.

This Isn’t A One-Year Accident

The 12-team format started in 2022, and the same problem has popped up every year.

In 2022, the 101-win Mets were seeded behind the 93-win Cardinals.

In 2023, the 99-win Rays were seeded behind the 87-win Twins.

In 2024, the 91-win Orioles were seeded behind the 88-win Astros.

In 2025, the 94-win Yankees were seeded behind the 88-win Guardians.

Now New York’s 93 wins sit behind Houston’s 81.

That’s five seasons and five No. 4 Wild Card teams that beat the record of a No. 3 division winner. At this point, this isn’t some occasional quirk that only shows up when a division is unusually bad.

MLB’s FAQ addresses what happens when a Wild Card team has a better record than a division winner with some unusual bluntness:

It doesn’t matter.

At least nobody can say the league’s trying to hide the philosophy.

Division Titles Should Matter. They Just Shouldn’t Matter This Much

Aug 23, 2026; Chicago, Illinois, USA; Chicago White Sox third baseman Miguel Vargas (20) celebrates with right fielder Braden Montgomery (24) after he scores against the New York Mets during the eighth inning at Rate Field.
Credit: Matt Marton-Imagn Images

There’s a real argument for keeping divisions.

The Cleveland-Chicago race made September worth paying attention to. Houston and Texas took the AL West down to the last day. Winning a division still means something to players and fans, especially in a sport that asks everyone to care for six months.

Take away every reward, and the division title starts to feel like a nice certificate banner for around the stadium.

But an automatic playoff spot is already a pretty big reward. MLB could also give division winners a top-four seed or home-field advantage in the Wild Card Series without pretending every division champion should get to jump teams with much better records.

The cleanest solution would be to keep automatic bids for division winners, then seed all six playoff teams by record. Tampa Bay and New York would get the AL byes. Boston would host Houston, and Cleveland would host Chicago.

Same six teams. Same division titles. A lot less pretending that 81 wins are worth more than 93.

That system still wouldn’t guarantee the best teams advance. Nothing can do that in baseball, especially in a three-game or five-game series. It would just give the teams that played the best over 162 games the advantages they actually earned.

Houston might beat Chicago. Cleveland might beat either of them. One of those teams could knock off the AL East survivor and win the pennant. If that happens, great. October is supposed to be weird.

A surprise just means more when it happens on the field.

The MLB has spent the last few years making the schedule more national and less tied to division geography. Then the postseason shows up, and the sport suddenly acts like geography is the most important thing.

All stats courtesy of MLB.com.


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