New tropical depression one of several areas being watched as Atlantic season carries on
A quiet Atlantic hurricane season shows early signs of activity as Tropical Depression 6 could become Fay, the season’s sixth named storm, yet it is unlikely to impact land. The systems forming in the Atlantic are sparse and mostly forecast to remain offshore, while the Pacific remains notably active with several storms potentially threatening Mexico. The overall pattern aligns with El Niño, keeping the Atlantic subdued even as neighbors to the west develop storms more robustly. In the near term, interests from the Azores to the Gulf Coast should monitor developments that could shift surf and rain, with potential impacts extending as moisture moves westward. The outlook suggests continued variability with offshore risk concentrating near higher latitudes and along the western Atlantic trade routes.
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Tropical Depression 6 is expected to strengthen into a tropical storm named Fay and meander in the open northern Atlantic, with little chance of direct land impacts in its current forecast. The system forms well southwest of the Azores and may head northeast briefly before veering away toward the southwest.
The Azores are projected to experience rough surf rather than significant impacts, as the depression trajectory keeps land effects minimal for the Portuguese archipelago.
Atlantic activity remains subdued relative to the Pacific, which is experiencing a very active season with multiple named storms and potential hurricanes near Mexico’s west coast.
Two low-pressure areas near the Cabo Verde islands could evolve later next week if they survive strong wind shear, possibly becoming additional named storms as they move across the main development region.
Two disturbances far west of the southern Mexican coast—Odalys and Polo—are anticipated to develop, with Odalys posing the greater risk of rapid strengthening into a hurricane and possible impacts on the west-central Mexican coast.
Moisture from any Atlantic storm could reach the southwestern United States via the North American monsoon pattern, contributing to ongoing heavy rain and storm activity in that region.
Seasonal dynamics show the El Niño phase correlating with a quiet Atlantic and a more active Pacific, shaping the distribution and timing of tropical development across basins.