Possible Tropical Storm Kyle Would Be the Atlantic’s Next Named Storm

A large cluster of rain showers and thunderstorms is forecast to come together in the open Atlantic later this week, potentially taking on tropical characteristics. Will this feature impact the U.S. in any way? Read on for the latest details about what is happening in the Atlantic.

Atlantic Basin Showing Signs of Life Near Bermuda

There is less than one month left in the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season. While this has been a quiet season by historical standards, there is still the chance of tropical activity coming to life over the next few weeks.

Forecasters with the National Hurricane Center (NHC) recently assigned a medium risk of tropical or subtropical development in a part of the Atlantic between the Bahamas and Bermuda. This broad area of low pressure currently anchored a few miles above the sea surface could spin down into the lower atmosphere and gradually take on tropical characteristics. There is a chance that this could become a tropical or subtropical depression by the weekend.

Strengthening winds across the eastern fringe of the U.S. will send any developing tropical system away from the coastline. This will help the U.S. dodge any impacts from what comes out of this area of low pressure.

However, Bermuda may not be as lucky. The latest forecast models signal that the storm will churn close enough to the group of islands to result in spotty rain showers for several days. The bulk of the rain will steer clear of the Bahamas.

Bermuda has avoided direct tropical impacts this season. That could change in the days ahead if the most potent bands of moisture and highest winds consolidate near the islands.

The next named storm in the Atlantic will be called Kyle. Looking ahead, there are no other areas of concern in the Atlantic over the next several days.

Strong El Niño Influencing Volume of Storms in the Atlantic and the Pacific

The calm season in this part of the world's oceans has been attributed to the growing influence of a strong El Niño. There are typically 15 named storms, seven hurricanes, and three major hurricanes by this point in the season in the Atlantic. However, this year has only produced 10 tropical storms and one hurricane. Hurricane Isaias barely hit the threshold of a major hurricane when it reached the status of a Category 3 storm.

It is not unusual to see decreased activity in the Atlantic during El Niño years. This can be explained by an increase in disruptive winds over the Atlantic basin. This boost of wind shear inherently limits the formation and growth of tropical weather events.

The opposite situation has unfolded in the Pacific. The warm ocean waters linked to El Niño have provided a fertile breeding ground for tropical features to take root and intensify. As of November 4, there have been 24 tropical storms, 13 hurricanes, and 11 major hurricanes in the Pacific.

Forecasters are monitoring two areas of potential development in the eastern and central portions of the Pacific over the next week. Stay tuned to see if the Pacific pads its storm count before the season comes to an end on November 30.

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