In what was billed as one of the tightest quarterback battles of the summer, the Colts surprised a lot of people by handing the starting job to Daniel Jones over Anthony Richardson. Most figured the former top‑five pick would at least get another year of runway, especially after the investment Indy made in him. Instead, Jones walked away with the job outright.

For Richardson, it’s a harsh twist. Drafted to be the future face of the franchise, he’s now parked on the bench while the staff publicly says Jones is the guy “for the season.” That’s not just a short‑term nod to stability — it’s a bold statement that hints at where the organization’s trust really stands with Richardson, and raises fair questions about how long his window in Indy will actually stay open.

A Franchise-Altering Decision

From March through camp, Steichen hammered the same point over and over: consistency. Not the catch‑phrase kind—he meant the boring, steady quarterbacking that doesn’t end up on SportsCenter but does keep your offense from falling behind the sticks. Get the team in the right look. Hit the throw that keeps you on schedule. Don’t put the ball in harm’s way just because you’ve got the arm to try it. That’s what they cared about, and that’s how they graded every snap.

That kind of checklist naturally favored Jones. Say what you want about his ceiling, but coaches know what they’re getting with him on a Wednesday install or a third‑down period in August. He’s played a lot of football, he’s survived a couple of different systems, and he’s not rattled by muddy pockets. In the preseason he looked like exactly what the staff wanted: clean mechanics, taking the easy money, staying within the structure. Not fireworks—floor.

And let’s be real: this was clearly the safer play. Everyone watching could tell this gave Indy the best chance to win right now. If the competition had been even remotely close, they would’ve leaned into Richardson’s upside. The fact that they didn’t tells you the gap wasn’t close at all in the staff’s eyes, and that they don’t feel like they can win games yet with him out there.

Then layer in the money. The Colts guaranteed most of a one‑year, $14 million deal to Jones back in the spring. That’s not franchise‑QB money, but it’s also not “camp arm” cash. You don’t hand that out unless you expect to play him. As long as he kept stacking steady days—and by all accounts he did—the team was always going to give him a real shot.

The Richardson Reality Check

Talent Isn’t the Issue

Anthony Richardson still looks like a quarterback built in a lab —size, speed, torque, the whole catalog. None of that changed. What changed is the Colts’ tolerance for the weekly volatility.

The NFL doesn’t grade on potential; it grades on Sundays. For two seasons, the passing side of Richardson’s game has swung between “wow” and “why?” — hot streaks followed by air‑mailed layups, tight‑window lasers followed by late eyes on a simple dig. When the staff keeps preaching operation and consistency, that’s what they’re talking about.

What the Fix Looks Like (The Boring Path Back)

• Stack accurate days. Not one crisp Tuesday — consecutive weeks of them. Hit the first‑read throws so the staff can call the full menu without flinching.

• Master protections. Earn the green light at the line. If the coaches believe you’ll fix a front with ten seconds on the clock, you’re back in the circle of trust.

• Win the middle. Live in that 8–18 yard window with timing and ball placement. The explosives will still be there when the base game is clean.

• Stay on the field. Availability is part of the resume. A healthy runway changes the conversation fast.

Is This the End in Indy?

No — not yet. Naming Jones the starter for the season is a message about September, not a lifetime contract. If the offense can't get going all year or Jones gets nicked, the door swings back open.

With that being said, if it had been close, the Colts would’ve leaned into Richardson’s upside. Going with Jones says it wasn’t close. That’s hopefully a wake‑up call, but it's a long road back to the lineup.

Jones, In Focus: What Indy Is Betting On

If you freeze-frame the hot‑take stuff and look at the football, Indianapolis is betting on three things with Daniel Jones:

1. He’ll run what’s called the way it’s drawn up. This staff wants on‑schedule throws, defined reads, and the ball delivered where the YAC can live. Jones has tape — especially in 2022 — of being that point guard. When he plays within structure, he takes care of it. The interception rate from his best ball is proof.

2. He’ll lower the chaos index. Richardson can create good chaos. He can also create game‑tilting chaos the other way. With Jones, the valleys are shallower. That matters for a roster that believes it can win games with defense and a steady run game if the quarterback keeps the car in the lane.

3. He’s healthy and available. This one sounds harsh, but it’s part of it. Jones has had his own injury history, but the Colts are clearly betting that his availability plus predictability give them a higher baseline week‑to‑week than the roller coaster they’ve ridden.

Does that raise the ceiling? Probably not. Does it raise the floor? That’s the hope. And if you’ve spent four straight seasons outside the playoffs, raising the floor is at least a start.

The Organizational Layer: Ballard, Steichen, and the Weight of This Choice

Let’s zoom out. Since Andrew Luck stunned the city, the Colts have lived in quarterback purgatory. 11 new faces, countless new plans, always the same result. You can only spin that carousel so many times before the voices at the top want a ride that actually goes somewhere.

That’s why this call is as much about Chris Ballard and Shane Steichen as it is about Jones and Richardson. The GM and the head coach tied themselves to AR in 2023 because the upside was too rare to pass up. They also know jobs get judged on wins, not potential. So when “high ceiling, low floor” didn’t harden into consistent Sunday production by Year 3 — and when injuries kept knocking AR back a few steps — they pivoted to the boring answer: the veteran who hits singles.

That comes with a cost. If Jones plays like the best version of himself, they’ll look smart, and it will ease the pain of Richardson’ being a miss — but not erase it. If Jones sputters and the offense is bland, the staff gets hit with the worst of both worlds: they stalled a top‑five pick’s development and didn’t win. That’s not going to be easy to explain to the bosses.

Scheme Fit: What Changes With Jones Under Center

Shane Steichen’s offense can wear different masks. With Jalen Hurts in Philly, it leaned into QB power, RPO stress, and shot plays layered off the run game. With Jones, expect less QB‑centric run and more quick‑game timing to keep the ball out on time. Think: slants and quick routes off play‑action, defined high‑low reads, and a strong dose of backs and tight ends as chain movers.

That doesn’t mean the playbook’s watered down. Jones can throw on the move and he’s athletic enough for keepers and boots. But the identity shifts from “pressure you with the quarterback” to “pressure you with answers.” That’s a philosophical change fans will notice on third‑and‑5.

Protection should look cleaner too. Not because Jones is immune to pressure — no QB is — but because he can call out blitzes and slide protections when he's supposed to. Offensive linemen love that, and it's something they didn't really have with Richardson still learning that part of the game.

What This Means for Richardson Right Now

The worst seat in the NFL is the backup chair when you used to be the future. Every rep feels graded at a different weight. Every throw in scout team that sails is a story. Every completed deep over is “see, that’s why we drafted him.”

Richardson’s job in the short term is simple to say and hard to live: be undeniable in the margins. Crush the install. Own the protections. Stack accurate days. If the offense stalls or Jones gets nicked—and durability is part of the conversation—be ready for Steichen to make a football decision, not a political one.

What Indy seems determined to avoid is the half‑measure: sprinkling in a “Taysom package” for short yardage just to make use of the athlete. Could they change their minds in October if the red‑zone offense needs a jolt? Sure. But the staff’s tone right now screams clean depth chart lines, not gimmicks.

There’s also the calendar. The fifth‑year option decision arrives next spring for Richardson. That’s a fulcrum moment. If he doesn’t play meaningful snaps this season—or if he does and the accuracy issues linger—Indy either kicks the can with a more modest development plan or seriously entertains a change of scenery.

The Trade Conversation

Let’s be clear: nobody’s reporting a trade. What you’re hearing is the natural chatter that follows a premium athlete losing a camp competition in Year 3. There would be interest—there always is for a quarterback with elite traits on a rookie deal. The problem is timing and value.

In-season trades for quarterbacks are rare for a reason. You parachute a QB into a new language, ask him to learn it at warp speed, and then expect him to function in real games. That's a tall task for any quarterback — but an even bigger one for a player who's consistently struggled to play within the structure of an offense.

The more realistic window is the 2026 offseason. If Jones plays well enough to earn another contract in Indy — or if the staff has just decided that they're done with the Richardson experiment — that’s when the Colts can survey the market without a countdown clock. The Trey Lance comparison comes to mind because of the draft slot and the stalled development. You’re probably not fetching a 1st, you might get a Day‑2 pick from a team betting on traits, and you’ll definitely find a handful of clubs that want to put him behind a veteran for one reset year.

As far as potential fits, the Saints make sense with their current quarterback room if they want to swing on upside. The Steelers could be a future play if they think they won't have the assets to move up and get their guy in the draft.

How the Locker Room Reads It

Players are fluent in coach‑speak, so they typically ignore it. What they don’t ignore is who helps them win on Sunday. When a staff plants a flag as strongly as “for the season,” it sends two messages inside that building:

• To the offense: we’re not benching the QB after one ugly half. Settle in, execute, and trust the plan.

• To the QB2: Get comfortable, you'll be there for a while. Make practice your gamedays and be ready when football, not optics, calls your number.

If players start to feel like the staff picked the wrong guy and it’s costing them games, the whispers turn into side‑eye, and side‑eye eventually becomes public conversations. Guys put too much on the line every week to let a season sink just to prove a point, and if Jones doesn’t deliver, the noise inside the building will get a lot louder than anything fans or media say outside it.